MLB Game Projections

Win probability, run totals, and value ratings for today's slate.

Today's Games Results & Accuracy Player Props

Games Today

8

Strong Value

0

Lean Value

0

High Confidence

1

Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians 06:10 PM

Away SP
Steven Matz

Home SP
Parker Messick

51.9% Win Probability 48.1%

TAM

CLE

Proj. Total 11.3

Run Line TAM 0.5

Proj. Score 5.9-5.4

ML Edge N/A

Total Edge N/A

Confidence 4.0%

No Edge

Details

Bullpen Fatigue:
Away: 1.0 | Home: 0.99

Environment:
Park: 1.09 | Temp: 73.0F | Wind: 11.0 mph

Venue: Progressive Field | Model: v1.0

St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates 06:40 PM

Away SP
Dustin May

Home SP
Mason Montgomery

50.0% Win Probability 50.0%

ST.

PIT

Proj. Total 11.8

Run Line EVEN

Proj. Score 5.9-5.9

ML Edge N/A

Total Edge N/A

Confidence N/A

No Edge

Details

Bullpen Fatigue:
Away: 0.97 | Home: 1.0

Environment:
Park: 1.1 | Temp: 73.0F | Wind: 13.0 mph

Venue: PNC Park | Model: v1.0

Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays 07:07 PM

Away SP
Ranger Suarez

Home SP
Dylan Cease

35.9% Win Probability 64.1%

BOS

TOR

Proj. Total 9.3

Run Line TOR 2.7

Proj. Score 3.3-6.0

ML Edge N/A

Total Edge N/A

Confidence 28.0%

ML: HOME

No Edge

Details

Bullpen Fatigue:
Away: 1.0 | Home: 0.98

Environment:
Park: 1.05 | Temp: 50.0F | Wind: 15.0 mph

Venue: Rogers Centre | Model: v1.0

Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins 07:40 PM

Away SP
Luis Castillo

Home SP
Connor Prielipp

46.4% Win Probability 53.6%

SEA

MIN

Proj. Total 9.1

Run Line MIN 0.7

Proj. Score 4.2-4.9

ML Edge N/A

Total Edge N/A

Confidence 7.0%

No Edge

Details

Bullpen Fatigue:
Away: 1.0 | Home: 0.99

Environment:
Park: 0.98 | Temp: 59.0F | Wind: 5.0 mph

Venue: Target Field | Model: v1.0

Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago White Sox 07:40 PM

Away SP
Jack Kochanowicz

Home SP
Anthony Kay

60.7% Win Probability 39.3%

LOS

CHI

Proj. Total 9.9

Run Line LOS 2.1

Proj. Score 6.0-3.9

ML Edge N/A

Total Edge N/A

Confidence 22.0%

ML: AWAY

No Edge

Details

Bullpen Fatigue:
Away: 0.99 | Home: 1.0

Environment:
Park: 1.02 | Temp: 60.0F | Wind: 15.0 mph

Venue: Rate Field | Model: v1.0

New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers 08:05 PM

Away SP
Max Fried

Home SP
Jack Leiter

69.2% Win Probability 30.9%

NEW

TEX

Proj. Total 9.9

Run Line NEW 3.7

Proj. Score 6.8-3.1

ML Edge N/A

Total Edge N/A

Confidence 38.0%

ML: AWAY

No Edge

Details

Bullpen Fatigue:
Away: 1.0 | Home: 1.0

Environment:
Park: 1.0 | Temp: 90.0F | Wind: 4.0 mph

Venue: Globe Life Field | Model: v1.0

Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres 09:40 PM

Away SP
Matthew Boyd

Home SP
Randy Vásquez

72.6% Win Probability 27.4%

CHI

SAN

Proj. Total 10.4

Run Line CHI 4.8

Proj. Score 7.6-2.8

ML Edge N/A

Total Edge N/A

Confidence 45.0%

ML: AWAY

No Edge

Details

Bullpen Fatigue:
Away: 1.0 | Home: 0.85

Environment:
Park: 0.97 | Temp: 72.0F | Wind: 5.0 mph

Venue: Petco Park | Model: v1.0

Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers 10:10 PM

Away SP
Chris Paddack

Home SP
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

15.0% Win Probability 85.0%

MIA

LOS

Proj. Total 11.5

Run Line LOS 8.1

Proj. Score 1.7-9.8

ML Edge N/A

Total Edge N/A

Confidence 70.0%

ML: HOME

No Edge

Details

Bullpen Fatigue:
Away: 0.98 | Home: 1.0

Environment:
Park: 1.03 | Temp: 72.0F | Wind: 5.0 mph

Venue: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium | Model: v1.0